No Budget bounce – but PM is a big hit with Labour voters

THE Budget has failed to provide a Tory bounce – but if the economy stays on track until the Election, David Cameron could still win.

Labour is four points ahead of the Conservatives, but would be out of sight by now if the party had a better leader than Ed Miliband.

Astonishingly, if the Election was a presidentialstyle head to head, more than one in eight Labour voters would choose Mr Cameron.

A total of 13 per cent of Labour supporters opted for Cameron, but only 2 per cent of Tories chose Miliband.

The Survation poll carried out for The Mail on Sunday shows Labour on 34 points, the Tories on 30, Ukip on 17 and the Lib Dems on ten.

A total of 1,008 people took part in the online survey on Friday and Saturday. Asked to choose between the Tories and Labour, Labour clearly wins. But when voters are asked to choose between Cameron and Miliband, Cameron wins by 42 per cent to 33.

There have recently been claims by some Tory MPs that the Budget was ‘too dull’, and Australian-born Election guru Lynton Crosby has been criticised by Ministers including Michael Gove and Iain Duncan Smith for ‘lack of vision’. But the poll suggests that his strategy, which relies on a late pro-Tory swing by voters worried Labour will wreck the recovery, could yet work.

A total of 16 per cent of non-Tory voters say they could still change their mind and vote Conservative if the economy stays on track.

A separate poll of polls in Scotland continues to point towards a Nationalist landslide in May.

As many as 47 of the country’s 59 Westminster seats are predicted to go to the SNP, with Scottish Labour holding only ten of its 40 current constituencies.

The latest poll is published on the What Scotland Thinks website, which averaged four surveys conducted since the middle of last month.