Bangkok Post

FALLING BEHIND

- KEN SWEET

US travel industry representa­tives want to work with Trump to reverse a long-term decline in internatio­nal tourism.

NEW YORK: Big US banks have been reporting billions of dollars in paper losses this month as they are forced to come into compliance with the new tax law.

And while the losses are massive, they were largely expected, and bank executives say the new tax law will be good for banks as well as the economy in the long run.

The biggest loser so far has been Citigroup Inc, which reported on Tuesday an $18 billion loss in the fourth quarter largely due to the tax law. The actual write-downs were even larger than that, more than $22 billion just in the quarter. It was one of the largest quarterly losses in the bank’s history.

The charges that these banks are taking fall into two categories.

The lion’s share is tied to what’s known as deferred tax assets. During the financial crisis nearly a decade ago, banks racked up billions of dollars in losses from soured mortgages and other toxic assets. These losses, under US tax law, can be converted into credits to be used to lower their tax bills in the future.

Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase & Co and other banks had assigned a value to these assets when the top US corporate income tax rate was 35%. But the Trump tax law lowered the top rate to 21% this year, the value of those deferred tax assets had to be adjusted.

Citigroup’s exposure to these deferred tax assets is abnormally large — more than $45 billion before Tuesday’s writedown — and is a byproduct of what happened to the bank during the financial crisis.

Citigroup was the largest bank in the United States at the time, holding billions of dollars in mortgages and other complicate­d assets, and when the financial crisis hit, Citigroup came dangerousl­y close to failing.

In comparison to Citigroup, the other bank’s deferred tax assets seem small.

JPMorgan Chase reported a $2.4 billion paper loss tied into these assets. Goldman Sachs Group Inc and Bank of America Corp are also expected to announce single-digit billion dollar losses when they report their results on Wednesday.

The smallest of the six major US banks, Morgan Stanley, which reports its results on Thursday, is expected to book a $1.3 billion charge for its deferred tax assets.

The other component of the bank’s write-downs this week is the repatriati­on of foreign earnings.

Just like Apple Inc, which has billions of dollars of its profits sitting in overseas subsidiari­es, some of the major Wall Street banks also have foreign subsidiari­es where they have been holding profits abroad in hopes of getting a better tax rate on those earnings.

The Trump tax bill provided exactly that. The new law is giving a one-time break to companies with “accumulate­d foreign profits’’ by taxing those earnings at just 15.5%.

Most major US banks do the vast majority of their business at home and don’t have material amounts of foreign profits that they need to bring back, with the exception of two: Citigroup and Goldman Sachs. Both banks have large internatio­nal businesses. Citigroup in particular has substantia­l banking businesses in Latin America and Asia.

When the tax law was enacted, Goldman said they estimated they would have to take a $5 billion charge in the latest quarter, two-thirds of which related to repatriate­d foreign earnings, the rest to deferred tax assets. Citigroup said on Tuesday that it was booking a $3 billion charge related to its foreign earnings.

Despite the short-term pain, banks expect the tax law to be ultimately good for them. Most US banks had tax rates of around 30%, sometimes higher, and now are now expecting effective tax rates of roughly 20%.

Most banks are expected to pass at least a portion of their new profits along to shareholde­rs in the form of stock buybacks and higher dividends. It is still early to see how much will go to consumers and businesses, although a few banks have announced wage increases for their lowest paid employees as a result of the tax law.

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said last week that the new tax law was a “significan­t positive for the country.’’

“US companies will be more competitiv­e globally, which will ultimately benefit all Americans,’’ he said.

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