The Mercury

Technical analysis:

Sasol in low-risk buy area

- Colin Abrams Colin Abrams is an independen­t technical analyst. To subscribe to more recommenda­tions by the author, or attend his courses, please go to www.themarket.co.za

AFTER some steep selling off in recent weeks and months, Sasol has dropped to an important support area and is a low-risk buy at current levels as shown on its chart. –Very oversold.

Start buying.

Sasol Recommenda­tion: Trend:

Short and medium term down, but oversold.

(Daily)

Sasol has fallen sharply to reach important support at line/s 1 (R361 to R354). Last week it bounced from there, and overall it is in a low-risk buying area.

Its short-term stochastic (on top) is oversold, as is its weekly stochastic (not shown).

Start buying part of the position now, and buy the rest on a one- or two-day pullback. (If it doesn’t pull back, then enter the second part of the trade on a reversal week up).

Look for a move to line 4 at least (R399/R400), to take trading profits. (It will probably stop there for a while and form a potential right shoulder of an inverse head-and- shoulders, before heading higher to R450; but it’s too early to say now).

The maximum downside risk here, as I see it, is to line 3 (R343). So for now, place your stop as a close below there. Once the price closes above R380, move your stop up to break even (your average entry). And from R394, raise the stop to a breaking of its prior one-day low.

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