Just A Jag has the credentials
THE Vaal stages an eight race meeting on the Classic Track tomorrow and there are three interesting runners who could provide value.
In the last race, a MR 72 Handicap over 1450m, King Gerard is of each way interest. This horse always gives the impression he loves to gallop and if able to get a suitable fast pace he can be effective as he has a good cruising speed.
However, he tends to over race if unable to use his considerable stride, which can almost be described as a bound.
Tomorrow, from a plum draw of two, he has the front-running sort Diva and the speedy Vulcan on either side of him so he could get the pace he needs and will likely be sitting right behind it without having to be used up to get there.
He has dropped to an attractive merit rating and this trip is ideal..
In the third race, a maiden over 2000m, Speed Monitor makes some appeal.
This is a nice looking gelding by Traffic Guard, who to date has had the unfortunate tendency to over race early when going around the turn.
However, last time over 1700m he still managed to stay on for third. A step up to 2000m does not augur well for his chances of settling any better.
However, one factor in his favour is the turn is a lot further from the start in a 2000m race on the classic course than it is in a 1700m race on the Inside course.
Therefore, he will not need to be tucked in as quickly after the start as he was last time, which might have caused him to pull in the first place.
Furthermore, he will be in the hands of the maestro Piere Strydom, although the hands of Andrew Fortune who rode him last time are probably just as good.
If things do pan out well for Speed Monitor he will go close.
The next interesting runner is Just A Jag, who runs in the sixth, a MR 68 Handicap over 1200m.
On Cape Town form this A P Answer gelding is well handicapped. Last June, for example, he finished just 2,25 lengths behind Victorious Jay over 1400m, although admittedly the latter was only a two-year-old at the time while Just A Jag was three.
Victorious Jay went on to finish a narrow second in a Gr 2 over 1600m.
Just A Jag was later sent to Kimberley and has accumulated two wins and five places in seven outings, both wins being over 1200m. He has risen to a merit rating of 75.
However, tomorrow he runs off his turf rating of just 61. The race will tell whether he is a sand specialist, but his consistent Cape Town form would point to him being effective on turf.
The race will also tell whether he will need the run as he hasn’t been out since March.
He might get away with it on fast ground over this trip and trainer Brett Warren has been seen to bring horses back from rests to run well.
However, King Gerard is the one of these three aforementioned value bets who make most appeal and looking at his form he could be the biggest price of the trio too.
The first race on the card over 1000m is competitive, but Edgbaston makes most appeal as blinkers could well suit him.
Last time he showed pace while looking a bit reluctant to let himself down and he was rallying at the finish, so the headgear might bring the best out of him.
Mind Shade beat the former by over a length last time and can go close with a repeat.
The obvious choice looks to be Alpine Glacier, who finished behind the former pair when making his debut.
He was backed into 12/10 that day so obviously shows a lot at home and he should have benefitted from the experience.
The question is whether he can make more than two lengths improvement to beat them.
Another horse who could be of interest is the Irish-bred Strut Your Stuff, who runs in the fourth race, a Maiden over 2000m.
This High Chaparral filly will relish the step up to 2000m on pedigree.
She was a bit hot on debut over 1600m and over raced too, so it is once again a question of whether she will settle.
Anthony Delpech is in the irons and she has a plum draw of two. If she does relax she could win, but otherwise Consequentially will likely pick up the pieces.
The latter jumps from a high draw but relaxes well in the running and is a long striding sort who will relish the trip.
In the second race, a MR 79 Handicap for fillies and mares, Laurel Cherry should certainly be coming into her own as a big four-year-old daughter of Ideal World.
She did her best work late when winning over this trip at Turffontein on June 12.
The third horse was well beaten by seven lengths and yet five winners have come out of the race, so the form looks strong and she can overcome a five point raise.
In the third race, a Maiden over 2000m, the stoutly-bred Excellency should relish the step up in trip and could be a PA banker.
However, as mentioned earlier, Speed Monitor must be given healthy respect and Stunned has to also be considered for the Pick 6.
In the fifth race, a MR 64 handicap over 1600m, Cape Marigold has pole position and the form of her last start has been franked with Movie Award winning yesterday.
Gavin Lerena is aboard and the filly can go close as she will likely be ridden more conservatively than last time when a decision was made to go to the front from a wide draw.
In the seventh race over 1000m, Speed Gonvarelez has had a big reputation from day one and is another who can carry topweight to victory.
She has plenty of speed and although raised two points for her excellent second last time out in tough MR 92 handicap, she now has a 4kg claimer up and will likely also relish the fast going conditions.