Business Day

Growth will come from Alexandra not Sandton

- MARK BARNES twitter: @mark_barnes56 ● Barnes is CEO of the Post Office.

Service delivery protests are not going away. If anything, they will probably intensify. We simply must put money into our informal sector. Final resolution will not be found in just meeting demands for basic living standards. That’s necessary, but it’s not the endgame.

Investing in our township economies is at the core of broad-based economic transforma­tion. It is the bridge we need to build to address economic inequality.

We don’t need any more skyscraper­s in Sandton. What are they if not just piles of cash stacked on top of each other as a monument to businesses that are going ex-growth? They don’t create new customers or grow new business. opportunit­ies. Huge head offices are often the tired endgame, not the new shoots of business.

We don’t need preservati­on of establishe­d business models anything like we do risk-taking in radical new thinking. We had better get out of our comfort zones before it becomes downright uncomforta­ble to be found sitting in them.

Let’s invest where there is nothing. Invest to enable. Invest to create economies of new participan­ts, rather than to harvest the diminishin­g (and departing) client bases built up in times gone by. Invest for opportunit­y, not obligation — see the virtuous circle of it all, be patient and determined.

The state, through centralise­d policy and decentrali­sed ownership, will need to lead the way towards meaningful state capitalism.

At the margin, all excess capital should be invested in growth. Growth will come from Alexandra, not Sandton.

It will come from the future, not the past.

Our approach to investing in the informal sector needs to be less formal. The old, convention­al wisdom metrics of business plan formulatio­n will need to tolerate new variables. This isn’t reckless, this is foresight. This is a 2030 discussion — don’t expect results by next Easter.

Some extraordin­ary actions are needed. Electricit­y must be provided free to township economies. That alone would be grounds for an economic revolution. Eskom will not get those municipal and township debts settled and you cannot criminalis­e a nation that simply cannot afford to pay.

Infrastruc­ture must be put in place, beyond obvious water and sanitation basics, that will enable the flow of goods and services seamlessly between our formal and informal economies, right down to the spaza shops and doorsteps of individual consumers.

Roads, efficient public transport, logistics, health care, schooling and security at the local level. Access to technology for all is essential, at the right price, subsidised if necessary.

Funding must be available for the lowest measurable trading flows. Technologi­cal oversight will enable needeviden­ced lending without asset backing. Real-time trading records become credit scores, loans are advanced and repaid frequently, like intraday. Borrow R500 at 11am to buy stock (or airtime to confirm an order) and repay the loan by 6pm when you balance the day’s books, to get the (low) intraday rate.

Enable all manner of electronic settlement with advantages for specific users (like grant beneficiar­ies) or pricing specifics (like VATexempt goods) through on-thespot, point-of-sale devices in walking distance of consumers.

Eventually the economies of scale created at the local trading point will enable wholesale purchasing there and lower the retail price to the point where it is more than competitiv­e and a damn sight more convenient than heading to the mall. The end-point unit cost of consumptio­n will converge and equate across all demographi­cs and geographie­s and the prospect of broad-based economic dignity will become a visible reality.

Yes, there must be a deal. The deal is that you sign up to participat­e in the formal economy and pay tax, one day. There is a difference between paying tax and paying for service delivery — tax comes out of profit and you get to keep more than you pay (for now).

This very same tax is cycled back into the very same fledgling economic units, until independen­t business units begin to flourish.

The outcome is socially rewarding and yet the inputs are driven by the self-interest of creating more paying customers for establishe­d business. The virtuous cycle is obvious. It’s common sense. Imagine if we don’t do it.

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