BusinessMirror

Biden says US to warn business on ‘deteriorat­ing’ Hong Kong

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President Joe Biden said his administra­tion will issue an advisory cautioning Us companies about the risks of doing business in Hong Kong because of “what may happen” as China continues to tighten its control over the island.

“The situation in hong Kong is deteriorat­ing and the Chinese government is not keeping its commitment that it made, how it would deal with hong Kong,” Biden said at a White house news conference alongside German Chancellor angela Merkel on Thursday.

“it is more of an advisory as to what may happen in hong Kong,” Biden added. “it’s as simple as that, and as complicate­d as that.”

The advisory is expected to be issued on Friday. it will underscore how swiftly China’s push for more control over hong Kong has brought an end to the “one country, two systems” approach that Beijing had promised when it resumed oversight of the former British colony in 1997.

That’s proved a death knell for the island’s independen­t judiciary, pugnacious media and lively protest movements.

While the advisory won’t order companies to scale back investment­s or leave hong Kong, Biden administra­tion officials worry that major banks and other multinatio­nal businesses with headquarte­rs in the city haven’t yet come to grips with just how much the landscape there has changed and how much risk they now face.

The key message in the administra­tion’s “business advisory” will be that hong Kong’s once-independen­t legal system is now essentiall­y as subject to government interferen­ce as mainland China’s, where the ruling Communist Party has almost complete control, according to people familiar with the order, who asked not to be identified discussing the document before it’s public.

Financial capital

THE advisory won’t demand specific action by the banks, businesses and investors that have transforme­d hong Kong into one of the world’s financial capitals alongside London and new York. instead it’s meant to underscore the threats—legal, financial and otherwise—the Us sees as Beijing consolidat­es its grip.

While businesses have grown increasing­ly uneasy about the city’s shifting landscape, experts and consultant­s say the changes in hong Kong have been so swift that many still haven’t sufficient­ly grappled with the inherent dangers. at the same time, they argue that the situation may not be as dire as the Us says, and they don’t anticipate massive departures.

“non-chinese firms should recognize that hong Kong presents both unique business opportunit­ies and newly compounded risks,” said Kurt Tong, a partner at the asia Group consulting firm. “There is no safety in numbers, but neither should firms join a stampede to exit.”

according to the people, the advisory will warn firms about the potential ramificati­ons of hong Kong’s national security law, imposed on the city by Beijing, which prohibits collusion with foreign forces or anything construed as subverting the authority of the central government. Data that foreign companies store in hong Kong could also be at risk, they said.

so far, many financial institutio­ns have actually ramped up hiring.

Citigroup inc. said in May that it plans to hire more than 1,000 profession­als across its wealth franchise in hong Kong over the next five years, stepping up its expansion amid an increasing­ly heated grab for talent in the region. Goldman sachs Group inc. is hiring 320 staff in China and hong Kong, as China opens its $54-trillion financial market fully to foreign brokerages and asset managers.

Even without making specific demands, the Us advisory will mark a stunning turnaround for a city that still hosts the world’s biggest banks and for decades marked an entry point to China as its developmen­t accelerate­d beginning in the 1980s.

China’s “one country, two systems” approach to hong Kong had already been under pressure before massive anti-government protests erupted in 2019. Under President Xi Jinping, Beijing quickly moved to silence independen­t voices, arresting protest leaders, imposing a national security law that allows for the extraditio­n of people accused of crimes to China and forcing the closing of Apple Daily, a high-profile media outlet critical of corruption and the Communist Party.

Geopolitic­al tensions are nothing new for companies that do business in China. But an “anti-foreign sanctions” law that China’s rubber-stamp parliament passed in June will put multinatio­nals in a difficult position because it may force companies to weigh complying with Us sanctions on Chinese entities against the risk that China may punish them for doing so.

“Chinese counterpar­ties are nervous about agreeing to comply with foreign sanctions,” said adam smith, former senior adviser in the Treasury Department’s sanctions unit and now a partner at Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher. “it’s creating an ‘us versus them’ scenario for multinatio­nal businesses.”

The advisory on Friday will mark a further step in the Biden administra­tion’s far more pessimisti­c tone about hong Kong in the months since the Trump administra­tion rolled back the city’s special trade privileges, saying the former British colony’s “high degree of autonomy” was quickly eroding.

China’s dismantlin­g of hong Kong’s freedoms—and the Us response—has been a driving force for worsening ties between the world’s two biggest economies. starting under President Donald Trump, Beijing and Washington were increasing­ly at odds over issues including trade, technology, the origins of the Covid-19 pandemic and human-rights.

after reports of the advisory first emerged earlier this week, China’s Foreign Ministry reaffirmed its opposition to what it views as Us interferen­ce in hong Kong’s affairs. Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian told reporters that the city had been more stable under the security law.

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