The Pak Banker

Innovation needs manufactur­ing

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The US Congress is considerin­g a number of proposals to boost federal funding for research and developmen­t in order to foster innovation­s that will fuel the growth of new domestic high-tech industries. This approach won't work unless we revive manufactur­ing in the US at the same time.

Federal R&D spending during the 1960s and 1970s got worldbeati­ng results because it partnered with the world's best high-tech manufactur­ing companies. Overseas competitor­s were absent or in early stages. After the great industrial migration overseas, foreign manufactur­ers can exploit American innovation unless they are directed into US facilities.

Simply increasing the federal research budget won't automatica­lly upgrade the domestic technologi­cal capabiliti­es. Federal initiative­s need to focus on implementi­ng domestic manufactur­ing for rapid research transfer into market-ready products. There are good business reasons to produce domestical­ly. In the search for lower costs, earlier offshoring decisions created operating problems by separating manufactur­ing, product developmen­t and marketing while management functions remained in the US. This gap can be a serious competitiv­e disadvanta­ge in high-tech industries, which require quick and efficient transfer of innovation­s into manufactur­ed products.

So there is every incentive to integrate product developmen­t and manufactur­ing. In addition, integratio­n better protects intellectu­al property. Formerly US-based high-tech manufactur­ing industries with hundreds of billions of dollars of annual revenues are now largely overseas, including consumer and industrial electronic­s, communicat­ions equipment and the semiconduc­tors that enable all electronic systems.

Especially noteworthy is that the new fifth-generation (5G) wireless equipment, the foundation of major new advances in communicat­ions infrastruc­ture, is imported because there is no US company in that business.

The consequenc­es of this migration are profound. Deprived of the value generated by growth of these industries in their evolutiona­ry developmen­ts, the US lacks key drivers of economic growth and an impaired defense capability.

The good news is that new technology makes onshoring hightech manufactur­ing a better economic option than offshoring.

These new technologi­cal capabiliti­es include artificial intelligen­ce, machine learning, improved data management thanks to cloud computing access, ever more sophistica­ted robotics, sensors and efficient wireless communicat­ions infrastruc­ture such as 5G.

With these new capabiliti­es, a new age of flexible manufactur­ing is enabled where the sophistica­tion of the manufactur­ing facility is the ultimate determinan­t of product cost and quality, rather than labor costs, which are a much lower part of the operating cost than in older manufactur­ing facilities.

The flexible manufactur­ing plant is a computer-controlled facility characteri­zed by extensive sensor networks that monitor production processes and are in constant communicat­ion with robots that do the manual work.

Computer nodes enabled by artificial- intelligen­ce software command the robotic operating conditions needed to manufactur­e the product. Eliminatin­g equipment failure is critical. The operating efficiency of the plant is enhanced by remote sensors that monitor the equipment to ensure timely preventive maintenanc­e.

The plant is operated by a small number of trained technician­s who program the command computers for specific product specificat­ions. Such plants are already being built. They require big capital inputs, which is where federal support is likely needed. For example, the semiconduc­tor (chip) industry already has plants in operation where the atomic-level cleanlines­s requires operations to be performed by robotic equipment in rooms devoid of humans.

Support for capital outlays is one part of the solution. The other is training. The US needs people who are highly skilled in software, electronic and mechanical systems. This means that the US will have to invest heavily in training such talent, without which it is impossible to build the manufactur­ing infrastruc­ture of the future.

Henry Kressel is a technologi­st, inventor and long-term Warburg Pincus private equity investor. Among his technologi­cal achievemen­ts is the pioneering of the modern semiconduc­tor laser device that enables modern communicat­ions systems.

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