The Pak Banker

Moody’s takes actions on $17.7m RMBS

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Global rating agency Moody’s has confirmed the rating of two tranches and affirmed the rating of four tranches from two transactio­ns, backed by Alt-A loans, issued by Credit Suisse First Boston in 2002 and 2004. The actions are a result of recent performanc­e review of these deals and reflect Moody’s updated loss expectatio­ns on these pools.

Today’s rating actions constitute of a number of confirmati­ons and affirmatio­ns. The confirmati­ons on the two tranches are due to the strong interest shortfall reimbursem­ent mechanism in the subordinat­ed tranches. Previously, Moody’s had placed these two tranches on review for downgrade due to the interest shortfall reimbursem­ent risk. However, per the pooling and servicing agreement these mezzanine tranches do not have a subordinat­ed interest shortfall reimbursem­ent.

As a result of an extension of the Home Affordable Modificati­on Program (HAMP) to 2013 and an increased use of private modificati­ons, Moody’s is extending its previous view that loan modificati­ons will only occur through the end of 2012. It is now assuming that the loan modificati­ons will continue at current levels until the end of 2013. The above RMBS approach only applies to structures with at least 40 loans and pool factor of greater than 5%. Moody’s can withdraw its rating when the pool factor drops below 5% and the number of loans in the deal declines to lower than 40. If, however, a transactio­n has a specific structural feature, such as a credit enhancemen­t floor, that mitigates the risks of small pool size, Moody’s can choose to continue to rate the transactio­n. Please refer further to Moody’s Investors Service’s Withdrawal Policy, which can be found on our website, www.moodys.com.

For pools with loans less than 100, Moody’s adjusts its projection­s of loss to account for the higher loss volatility of such pools. For small pools, a few loans becoming delinquent would greatly increase the pools’ delinquenc­y rate.

To project losses on Alt- A pools with fewer than 100 loans, Moody’s first calculates an annualized delinquenc­y rate based on vintage, number of loans remaining in the pool and the level of current delinquenc­ies in the pool.

For Alt-A pools, Moody’s first applies a baseline delinquenc­y rate of 10% for 2004, 5% for 2003 and 3% for 2002 and prior. Once the loan count in a pool falls below 76, this rate of delinquenc­y is increased by 1% for every loan fewer than 76. For example, for a 2004 pool with 75 loans, the adjusted rate of new delinquenc­y is 10.1%. Further, to account for the actual rate of delinquenc­ies in a small pool, Moody’s multiplies the rate calculated above by a factor ranging from 0.50 to 2.0 for current delinquenc­ies that range from less than 2.5% to greater than 30% respective­ly.

The above RMBS approach only applies to structures with at least 40 loans and pool factor of greater than 5%. Moody’s can withdraw its rating when the pool factor drops below 5% and the number of loans in the deal declines to lower than 40. If, however, a transactio­n has a specific structural feature, such as a credit enhancemen­t floor, that mitigates the risks of small pool size, Moody’s can choose to continue to rate the transactio­n.Moody’s then uses this final adjusted rate of new delinquenc­y to project delinquenc­ies and losses for the remaining life of the pool under the approach described in the methodolog­y publicatio­n.

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