Arab Times

GOP risks blame in ’18 elections

Health defeat ‘own political nightmare’

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WASHINGTON, April 2, (AP): The crash of the House Republican health care bill may well have transforme­d an issue the party has long used to bash Democrats into the GOP’s own political nightmare.

Since former President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul was enacted in 2010, Republican­s have blamed Democrats for rising premiums and diminished choices of insurers and doctors in many markets. Repealing Obama’s law has been a paramount GOP campaign promise that helped them grab control of the House that year, the Senate in 2014 and elected Donald Trump to the White House last November.

Yet here they are, in full control of government but unable to deliver their pledge. Instead, they’re sweeping up debris from a failed bill that party moderates and conservati­ves hated, sparked a civil war between Trump and the hard line House Freedom Caucus and threatens to alienate GOP base voters.

Many Republican­s say they now own the health care issue.

“If you say, ‘This is Obamacare, it’s failing,’ people can say, ‘Well, we elected you to fix it,’” said Tom Davis, a former Republican congressma­n from Virginia who headed the House GOP’s campaign committee.

“We have the House, the Senate, the White House,” said David Winston, a GOP strategist who advises congressio­nal leaders. “People are going to expect points on the board.”

Davis, Winston and others note that it’s a long way to the November 2018 elections. That’s when Republican­s will defend their congressio­nal majorities, so GOP successes on issues like tax cuts and infrastruc­ture that affect the economy and jobs could overshadow their health care dud.

In addition, party leaders hope to produce new health care legislatio­n.

visa troubles, The Honolulu Star-Advertiser reported. The convention of the direct marketing company that sells personal care products next month is slated to be Hawaii’s largest incentive travel group from China.

Typically, 10 percent to 15 percent of visa applicants for large groups traveling It’s unclear how they’d do that without compromisi­ng with Democrats, who currently have little motivation to pull Republican­s out of the quicksand. That could change if Democrats decide a deal is better than gambling on whether voters blame them and Obama’s law should premiums rise and the number of insurers decline significan­tly.

“They both have risk, and that’s a recipe for ultimately some action to be taken,” said Mike Leavitt, health secretary under President George W. Bush.

For now, there are ominous signs for Republican­s.

The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll last week found strong voter antipathy for how Trump is handling health care and for the sunken House GOP bill. That included widespread worry that people would lose coverage and opposition to its higher premiums for older people, smaller subsidies for lower earners and cuts in Medicaid aid for the poor.

Reduce

Dangerousl­y for Republican­s, threatenin­g to reduce federal health care aid speaks directly to voters in states that backed Trump. All 13 states with the highest proportion of people getting federal subsidies for their insurance premiums voted for him last November, according to federal data.

Democrats view all that as campaign ad fodder. Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wisconsin, protected many Republican­s by averting a House vote on the doomed bill, but several dozen supported it in committees.

“Clearly the Republican­s own this,” said Rep Ben Ray Lujan, D-New Mexico, who heads House Democrats’ campaign organizati­on. “We will continue to make sure that the American people know about their votes.”

to Hawaii get denied, but the Nu Skin rate was significan­tly higher.

Hawaii and other US cities looking to increase Chinese tourism have been working with the US Travel Associatio­n to advocate for visa improvemen­ts. Since a 2011 China US Tourism Leadership Summit was held in Kailua-Kona, reductions in visa processing

A woman walks with an umbrella as snow falls in Boston on April 1. The April Fools Day storm that brought heavy, wet snow to much of northern New England is winding down, but not before causing crashes on highways across the

region and leaving thousands without power. (AP)

GOP damage could come from another direction, too.

Failure to dismantle Obama’s law could dampen turnout in next year’s congressio­nal elections by voters demoralize­d when Republican­s fumbled their promised repeal. Brent Bozell, chairman of the conservati­ve For America, said Friday it would be “absolute suicide” for the GOP to stay on its current, unsuccessf­ul course.

“Just saying, ‘Give us four more years and we’ll repeal it’ is going to be very hard” to sell to voters, said Robert Blendon, professor at the Harvard School of Public Health.

Aware their fates might rest on how insurance markets fare, both parties will closely watch insurers’ filings due in June. Those will indicate what markets they intend to serve in 2018 and what premiums they’d like to charge.

Also scrutinize­d will be whether regulatory actions by Trump and health secretary Tom Price buttress or undermine insurance markets.

Trump issued an early executive order that agencies curb implementa­tion of Obamacare, and he’s repeatedly predicted the statute will explode. Price has noted that the law has 1,442 provisions that leave decisions to the health secretary and said he would study “every single one.”

In early evidence Trump is uninterest­ed in severe disruption­s, Ryan said last week that the administra­tion will for now continue financing $7 billiona-year in subsidies for deductible­s and co-payments for over 6 million lowincome people.

A federal court ruled the Obama administra­tion had no authorizat­ion to fund that program. The Trump White House could accept that ruling and halt the payments, which go to insurance companies who’ve said the money is crucial for them to continue providing policies.

times and the introducti­on of nonstop flights and longer-term visas helped spark growth.

Some travel officials say they are concerned about the Trump administra­tion’s effect on travel. Reene Ho-Phang, managing director of Hawaii Tourism China, said the executive order limiting travel from specific regions of the Middle East and Africa may not be aimed at Asia, but it still creates unease for Chinese visitors who fear travel restrictio­ns could worsen.

“Everyone is keenly awaiting a meeting next month between China’s President Xi Jinping and President Trump,” Ho-Phang said.

Ho-Phang said the issues with the Nu Skin conference has alerted other would-be tourists of the stress of getting a visa.

“We’ve observed that group demand has cascaded a bit. Word has spread in the industry, and it’s impacting other groups. Some are postponing group bookings by a year,” Ho-Phang said.

The Hawaii Tourism Authority has estimated that if all of the Nu Skin members had come to Hawaii, it would have added $15.9 million in corporate spending into the state and generated $1.9 million in taxes. Instead, Nu Skin sent about 2,000 incentive winners to Bali, Indonesia, reducing the group’s benefit to Hawaii.

The state Department of Business, Economic Developmen­t and Tourism has forecast that 2017 arrivals from China will increase 2 percent to 173,479, while spending is expected to rise slightly more than 6 percent to $434 million-plus. (AP)

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