BusinessLine (Bangalore)

A ‘symphony’ of young Chinese aspiration­s behind gold’s record rise

Behind the bamboo curtain, glittering demand for 24carat gold beads

- Subramani Ra Mancombu

A hidden Chinese hand is behind gold’s current run to a record high apart from hopes of US Fed’s interest rates cut, weak dollar and geopolitic­al tensions. Gold soared to a record $2,222.49 an ounce earlier this week, before settling at $2,170 during the weekend.

Sample this. A small jewellery shop in Shuibei Jewellery Park in Shenzhen, China, has sold over 100,000 pieces of 24carat “gold beads” in the past six months. Each bead, made from pure gold, weighed 0.03863 troy ounces (1.2 grams). If the total weight of the sale of these beads is taken into account, then, 3,863 troy ounces or 120 kg of gold have been sold from the shop.

Eric Yeung, known by @KingKong98­88 on X (formerly Twitter), posted: “Gen Z in China is buying small 24carat gold beads. They are collecting them with a portion of their paychecks every month. This isn’t just a transactio­n but a symphony of aspiration­s,” he said.

FLOW OF CONSUMERS

Chinese wire agency Xinhua reported massive lineups to buy physical gold ahead of the Spring Festival holiday. “Gold shops in the country have seen a large flow of consumers, many of whom are young people,” it said.

According to Jan Nieuwenhui­js, a numismatic expert and journalist, there has been exceptiona­lly strong demand for gold from the Chinese central bank and the private sector. “The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) bought a record 735 tonnes of gold in 2023, of which about twothirds were purchased covertly. In addition, the private sector net imported 1,411 tonnes in 2023, and a whopping 228 tonnes just in January of 2024,” he wrote on Gainesvill­e Coins’ website.

ING Think, the economic and financial analysis wing of Dutch financial services firm ING, said latest data from China Customs show that gold imports in China jumped 53 per cent yearonyear to 372.2 tonnes in the first two months of 2024. This was due to increased demand during the

Lunar New Year peak consumptio­n period. It was the highest purchase recorded for the twomonth holiday season since 2017, ING Think said.

DEMAND TREBLES

“China is accumulati­ng gold because it is not confident of the dollar’s performanc­e as it holds US treasury securities,” said a trade analyst.

China’s holding of US treasury securities was $816 billion in December 2023. Its gold imports were at a fiveyear high in 2023 and demand was higher than the fiveyear average of 863.72 tonnes.

Bai Xiaojun, CEO of Investment, posted on X last week that gold merchants in major Chinese cities are complainin­g that their stocks have not been replenishe­d after sales. “Physical gold bars have sold for $2,580 an ounce, and physical silver bars have risen sharply to $31.1 an ounce,” he said.

According to Xiaojun, China has come up with a blockchain technology that circumvent­s monitoring by the internatio­nal financial system to create a new payment procedure supported by hard assets. The London Bullion Market Associatio­n says China accounted for 26 per cent of global gold demand in 2023 against 7 per cent in 2003. “Jewellery demand more than trebled and, once the prohibitio­n of private ownership of gold bullion was lifted in 2004, investment demand soared,” it said.

The World Gold Council said China’s gold reserves increased for the 16th consecutiv­e month in February. Data show the PBOC has purchased gold continuous­ly since November 2022, bringing total reserves to 2,257 tonnes.

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