TSX closes at record high as markets feeling ‘calm and bliss’
Canada’s main stock index closed at a record high Thursday as it overcame a correction late last year that saw it lose 17 per cent of its value.
The S&P/TSX composite index gained 68.57 points to 16,612.81, surpassing the previous record close of 16,567.47 set last July.
Stock markets are feeling “calm and bliss” following a reversal in language from central banks towards advocating a slow rise in interest rates, says Kash Pashootan, CEO at First Avenue Investment Counsel Inc. “That has the market feeling much more comfortable and confident, which has continued to push equity markets higher.”
The TSX has recovered 2,832 points or 20.6-per-cent since sinking to its December low.
Pashootan said the softening of Federal Reserve language about raising interest rates has been the foundation of the markets’ recovery, but some other factors have contributed fuel to the fire. A 41-per-cent surge in oil prices in 2019 was among the main contributors.
The election of a conservative government in Alberta and first-quarter U.S. corporate results beating downward revised estimates have also injected some enthusiasm into markets.
Recent data has been supportive as economic growth in China and the U.S. is better than expected, U.S. jobless rates are at 50-year lows and March retail sales announced Thursday were the strongest gain since September 2017. In Canada, retail sales rose 0.8 per cent in February to $50.6 billion, the first increase since October. But Pashootan is cautious about his outlook for markets.
“We feel that although we have seen a relief in equity markets here in the first few months of the year ... we’re not becoming comfortable because we feel that this party is not going to last for all of 2019.”
He said some of the positive economic data is a hangover from 2018 that was primarily fuelled from U.S. tax cuts as opposed to true economic growth. “When we open up the gas tank and look inside we don’t see a lot of fuel left.”
In a trade-shortened week because of Good Friday, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 110.00 points at 26,559.54. The S&P 500 index was up 4.58 points at 2,905.03, while the Nasdaq composite was up 1.98 points at 7,998.06.