Time to abandon EV mandates
Canada is not nearly ready for the wholesale adoption of electric vehicles (EVS).
That was the message of the letter I sent to every member of Parliament recently, urging them to drop the “Electric Vehicle Availability Standard” introduced by the federal government late last year. The policy mandates that all new vehicles sold in Canada must be electric by 2035. There is no way, considering the economic, technological and infrastructural realities of our country — and our world — where this is possible.
Stubbornly attempting to achieve this goal would do serious damage to our economy, leaving taxpayers on the hook for generations to come. Already, billions of tax dollars have been handed out in subsidies to companies that have no accountability to Canadians. This experiment in societal re-engineering will disproportionately harm workers and families, especially those who live in rural communities.
And it will surely fail. In my letter, I highlight a few of the central reasons why staying the course on EV mandates by 2035 is extremely reckless. Right off the bat, the technology is simply not there for EVS to be a reliable source of transportation in Canada’s climate. The batteries cannot hold their charge in frigid temperatures. Forcing motorists to rely on vehicles that can’t handle our winters is irresponsible and dangerous.
EVS’ cost is another issue. Right now, the EV market relies heavily on government subsidies. These subsidies can’t last forever. But without them, EVS are prohibitively expensive. Even with them, the costs of maintaining an EV are high. Replacing a damaged battery, for example, can cost upward of $20,000. Mandating that people buy vehicles they can’t afford to either purchase in the first place or maintain if they do buy them is political malpractice.
A fact long ignored by decision-makers in Ottawa is that our electrical grid isn’t ready for the excess demand that would come with widespread EV adoption. These mandates, paired with the government’s goal of fully decarbonizing the grid by 2035, put us on a collision course with the reality of unreliable power. A grid powered, not by reliable fossil fuels, but by spotty wind and solar energy would be further burdened with millions of cars relying exclusively on electricity.
Beyond the electricity itself, the EV mandates will require additional transmission and distribution capacity. But there are no signs any plan is in place to expand our transmission capacity to meet the 2035 target.
The sheer number of new charging stations required by wholesale adoption of EVS will strain our distribution networks. Natural Resources Canada estimates the country will need between 442,000 and 469,000 public charging ports by 2035. At the moment, we have roughly 28,000. And that doesn’t include the private charging stations people will need to install at home. Closing that gap in such a tight time frame is almost certainly impossible.
All of those considerations aside, at a fundamental level the government’s push for EVS encroaches on the operation of the free market, all in the name of emissions reductions. The Canadian economy is founded on the market principle that the consumer drives the economy (no pun intended). Thousands of times over, it has been shown that if there is enough demand for a product, supply soon follows. In the case of EVS, however, the federal government is operating under the assumption that if you somehow create a supply, that will inspire a demand.
This hasn’t worked in any of the countries where it’s been attempted, which is why nations around the world have started to tap the brakes on EV mandates. Decision-makers in Ottawa need to follow suit and abandon these reckless and costly mandates. Let the market decide when EVS are ready for prime time. In other words, let Canadians decide.