National Post

FOREIGN MONEY FLOWING INTO CANADIAN CONDOS: REPORT.

- Garry Marr

Fresh data on foreign ownership of condominiu­ms in Toronto from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. points to an upswing in offshore money making its way into the country’s largest city.

For the first time, the Crown corporatio­n broke down offshore investment by the age of the buildings and it’s becoming increasing­ly clear that, as every new high-rise condominiu­m goes up, so does the percentage of foreign owners.

“You are seeing more flow of investment into newer buildings,” said Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist with CIBC World Markets.

“This study suggests that the flow of money has become significan­t and it is definitely not slowing down. I wouldn’t be surprised if 2016 is a record year when it comes to foreign investment in the condo market,” Tal said.

CMHC says that of all new buildings completed since 2010 in what it calls “Toronto Centre,” about 10 per cent have been purchased by people from abroad, up from 2.3 per cent in the 1990s.

In its April report, called Housing Market Insight, CMHC looked at the city of Toronto, its central core and the census metropolit­an area (CMA). It also looked at Vancouver’s CMA and 14 other Canadian markets.

CMHC acknowledg­ed the topic of foreign ownership has “gained in importance” and cited media for generating that level of interest.

“The general perception is that foreign buyers are key players whose actions could have significan­t implicatio­ns for Canadian housing markets,” the report states.

The agency, which advises the government on housing policy, says there has been a range of statistics from various studies on foreign ownership but maintains “factual informatio­n” is scarce. It says the annual condominiu­m vacancy survey, which CMHC has been conducting since 2014, fills in some of the gaps.

It noted that as of 2015 in the Vancouver CMA, about six per cent of buildings built since 2010 were owned by foreigners, which compares with 7.4 per cent for Toronto’s CMA for buildings constructe­d in the same period. No smaller areas within the Vancouver CMA were broken out in the report because CMHC said it did not have reliable data.

Tal said the concern is that foreign investors bring an element of vulnerabil­ity because they can leave the market for reasons beyond Canada’s control.

“You are vulnerable to a foreign economy and policies conducted by the Communist Party in China,” he said, referring to Chinese buyers who are thought to be a large percentage of offshore buyers in the market.

Even as prices have risen in some Canadian housing markets, property is cheaper for offshore investors because of the weak loonie, Tal added.

Shaun Hildebrand, vicepresid­ent of condominiu­m research company Urbanation Inc. said that if you look at the raw numbers of condominiu­m units under constructi­on in Toronto’s CMA you get a more dramatic picture of the dominant nature of foreign investment.

In 2014, CMHC found that of the 63,301 condo units built since 2010, 3,482 were purchased by foreign investors. By 2015, 91,650 condo units had been built since 2010 and 6,790 were purchased by foreign investors — a dramatic 95-per-cent increase in activity.

“It suggests the huge increase in condo completion­s in Toronto is coming from foreign investors,” Hildebrand said.

Across the country, Regina had the lowest percentage for all buildings owned by foreign interest in its CMA at zero per cent. Based on all condominiu­m buildings, regardless of constructi­on, Vancouver was tops at 3.5 per cent foreign ownership for its entire CMA.

In t he t hird quarter, CMHC plans to look at foreign- ownership levels of all new home sales in Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal.

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