Journal Pioneer

Getting a boost

Loonie steadies as wholesale trade lifts Canada’s economy

- FERGAL SMITH REUTERS

TORONTO — The Canadian dollar was little changed against its U.S. counterpar­t on Monday as domestic data showing increased wholesale trade offset signs that a strike at Canada’s biggest railroad was set to continue.

Canadian wholesale trade rose by 1.0% in September from August, much stronger than the 0.4% gain that was expected. Sales grew by 0.9% in volume terms.

“Wholesale trade provided a nice lift to September economic activity in Canada that otherwise had looked fairly tepid,” Avery Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC Capital Markets, said in a note.

“Markets don’t typically react to this series, but might take note of the firmer real GDP print later this week that incorporat­es these data,” Shenfeld said.

Canada’s gross domestic product data for the third quarter is due on Friday, which could help guide expectatio­ns for next week’s Bank of Canada interest rate decision.

Labor union Teamsters Canada said it has made no progress in reaching an agreement with Canadian National Railway Co . Economists have estimated a prolonged strike could cost the Canadian economy billions of dollars.

At 9:49 a.m. (1449 GMT), the Canadian dollar was trading nearly unchanged at 1.3298 to the greenback, or 75.20 U.S. cents. The currency, which declined 0.6% last week, traded in a range of 1.3286 to 1.3316.

The loonie has been pressured since October by a more dovish stance from the Bank of Canada. Last Wednesday, it hit a near six-week low at 1.3328.

Investors have cut bullish bets on the Canadian dollar, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and Reuters calculatio­ns showed. As of Nov. 19, net long positions in the currency had fallen to 28,865 contracts from 42,373 in the prior week.

World shares staged a cautious rally on Monday as hopes rose for a trade deal between the United States and China. China said on Sunday it would seek to improve protection­s for intellectu­al property rights.

Canada is a major exporter of commoditie­s, including oil, so its economy could benefit from a reduction in trade uncertaint­y.

U.S. crude oil futures were down 0.1% to $57.73 a barrel, steadying after they notched on Friday a near two-month high intraday at $58.74. Canadian government bond prices were lower across a flatter yield curve, with the two-year down 3 Canadian cents to yield 1.596% and the 10-year falling 2 Canadian cents to yield 1.475%.

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