Over 200m Indonesians to vote for new president today
Defence minister Prabowo Subianto is frontrunner in the race to win power; voting postponed in 10 villages due to flood; over 200,000 security personnel deployed
Indonesia finalised complex logistics for Wednesday’s election across thousands of islands, with defence minister and former special forces commander Prabowo Subianto frontrunner in the race to win power in the world’s third-largest democracy.
It was unclear, however, whether Prabowo would be able get the simple majority needed to avoid a runoff.
His cause was not helped by protests on Monday from hundreds of students and activists accusing his current boss, the wildly popular outgoing President Joko Widodo, of abusing power to back the minister’s third tilt at the top job.
The 72-year-old Prabowo, who was in the military under late strongman Suharto, led two recent opinion polls with more than 50% against ex-governorsaniesbaswedanandganjarpranowo.
However, the margin of error still let open the possibility of a June runoff if he falls short of a simple majority.
Prabowo’s vice-presidential running mate is the 36-year-old son of the president. Nearly 205 million Indonesians are registered to vote.
The president, known as Jokowi, has not explicitly endorsed any candidate but has made highly publicised appearances with Prabowo, including at some state events, interpreted by many as a tacit endorsement even though he beat him at the last two elections.
Also, Jokowi’s eldest son became Prabowo’s running mate ater a last-minute decision by a court headed by Jokowi’s brother-in-law to change election rules.
Jokowi’s allies have insisted the president had no involvement in the court decision, and he has denied favouring any candidate in the election.
Indonesia’s election law allows leaders to campaign for any candidate as long as state resources are not used and they take official leave to do so. But incumbents have tended to stay neutral in the past.
To activists, though, the pre-election events represent a worrying backsliding on hard-won democratic gains made ater the fall of the “New Order” era of Suharto’s decades-long rule before he was toppled in 1998.
“We don’t want the New Order to return,” Sulistyowati Irianto, law professor at the University of Indonesia, said during an event on Monday, referring to Jokowi’s perceived involvement in the election.
Some critics say discontent with Jokowi could chip away at public trust for Prabowo.
“It might be translated into Prabowo losing some votes but not sure how many percent,” said Andreas Harsono of Human Rights Watch.
Indonesia has entered a cooling-off period until voting day, with candidates barred from campaigning. Running an election is a gargantuan task: the archipelago of more than 17,000 islands stretches across three times zones.
Some 200,000 security personnel will be on guard. Officials have delivered ballot boxes and papers to far-flung regions, in some cases by boat, helicopter or ox-drawn carts.
The weather agency has warned about the risk of heavy rains in West Java on polling day, media reported. Meanwhile, the election commission has postponed voting in 10 villages in the Demak area in Central Java due to flooding.
Voting in Paniai regency of Central Papua province could also be delayed ater frustrated residents in the area burned ballot papers and boxes because of missing supplies.
The delicate balancing act has paved the way for substantial Chinese trade and investment for Indonesia, including a $7.3 billion high-speed railway that was largely funded by China, while Jakarta has also boosted defense ties and intensified military exercises with the US.
These policies would likely continue if Prabowo wins, according to analysts.
“The problem for great powers, however, is that Jakarta is assiduously non-aligned and almost certainly will remain as such regardless of who wins,” said Derek Grossman, a senior defense analyst at Rand Corp, a Us-based think tank.
Prabowo adheres to a policy of neutrality and has publicly praised the US and China.
He cited America’s historical role in pressuring the Netherlands to recognise Indonesian sovereignty in the 1940s, during a forum in November at the Center for Strategic and International Studies think tank in Jakarta.